Steady start for M&A in Q1 2024, forecasts new report

BY Fraser Tennant

Global M&A in Q1 2024 will see an uptick in activity with acquisitions in the technology, media and telecommunications (TMT), consumer, healthcare and energy sectors set to rise, according to a new report by Datasite.

In the ‘Datasite Forecaster Special Report: The Year of the Buy-Side’, the virtual data room provider suggests that while tighter financing costs, a volatile market and the long-term impact of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic have curbed M&A deal activity in 2023, there will be opportunities in 2024.

According to the report: (i) buyers are taking advantage of softening market conditions and lowered seller expectations to pursue one-on-one acquisitions with vigour; (ii) with sell-side M&A finally cooling in the real estate and industrials industries, acquirers are scouring the landscape for pickups; and (iii) more advisers are being hired for one-on-one acquisitions as buyers decide to take no chances during this rare window of opportunity.

“Fewer sell-side auction processes in top industries this year have opened the door to more one on one deals,” said Merlin Piscitelli, chief revenue officer for Europe, Middle East and Africa (EMEA) at Datasite. “Buyers are taking full advantage, scouring the real estate, industrials, TMT, and consumer industries for pickups.

“The exception to this is energy & power, which is seeing a resurgence on both sides of the M&A equation,” he continued. “Meanwhile, life science and healthcare M&A continues to slowly recover from its COVID-19 induced feeding frenzy.”

The report also suggests that artificial intelligence (AI)-powered technologies will continue to impact not only the kinds of deals being done but also how deals are managed.

“From its ability to streamline several aspects of dealmaking, including powering data analysis and automating repetitive tasks, the momentum behind AI is set to grow,” added Mr Piscitelli. “In fact, in a recent Datasite survey, 42 percent of global dealmakers said productivity was the biggest benefit of using generative AI in their business and most expect that AI will help speed up deals by 50 percent.”

Another sign, according to Datasite, of a steady start to M&A activity in Q1 2024 is the willingness of acquirers to bring in financial advisers – buy-side deals being one-on-one acquisitions in which advisers have traditionally played a smaller role.

Mr Piscitelli concluded: “For years, strategic buyers have struggled to acquire in a market rife with private equity competition and inflated valuations. Without knowing how long their window of opportunity will last, buyers are leaving nothing on the table.”

Report: Datasite Forecaster Special Report: The Year of the Buy-Side

PE and VC-backed firms see rapid European growth, reveals new report

BY Fraser Tennant

European private equity (PE)- and venture capital (VC)-backed companies are growing rapidly and significantly outperforming privately owned firms, according to a new report by Gain.pro.

In its 2023 ‘Finding Growth in Europe: A Private Equity Perspective’, it is revealed that over the past decade, PE- and VC-backed companies achieved growth rates of 10 to 12 percent – double that of privately owned companies at 5 percent.

Among the key takeaways from the report, PE- and VC-backed companies are more active in buy-and-build than their privately-owned counterparts. An active buy-and-build strategy is applied by 28 percent of PE- and VC-backed companies, meaning they acquire at least one company per year. This compares to only 12 percent for privately owned companies.

In terms of organic growth rates, the report notes that the technology, media and telecommunications (TMT) sector is performing best, showing an average organic growth rate of 8 to 10 percent. TMT is followed by the financial services and science & health sectors. The report also showcases that there are plenty of growth opportunities in the lower-growth industrials, materials & energy and consumer sectors.

“With high-interest rates here to stay, growth is only going to get tougher,” said Sid Jain, head of insights at Gain.pro. “But what we see in the data is that PE-held businesses continue to demonstrate resilience. It is clear that even in today’s lacklustre macro-environment, investors can expect significant opportunities within the European PE landscape.”

According to the report, European investors need to be more vigilant to find growth opportunities, seeking out multiple arbitrage opportunities that do not rely on overall market multiples, but more on buy-and-build and operational improvements.

Mr Jain concluded: “The next decade will be challenging for PE investors, but those who work hard and use smart data-driven sourcing strategies will be well-positioned to succeed.”

Report: Finding Growth in Europe: A Private Equity Perspective: 2023 Edition

Global fraud rocketed in H1 2023, reveals new report

BY Fraser Tennant

Despite efforts to thwart scammers through regulation and government action, fraud levels are continuing to increase across the globe and rocketed in H1 2023, according to a new report by NICE Actimize.

In its ‘Delving Deeper: 2023 Fraud Insights Second Edition’, the financial crime solutions provider reveals that FIs are under mounting pressure due to the surge in fraud attacks, rising transaction volumes, and the ever-evolving landscape of regulatory and consumer liability requirements.

The report’s key findings include: (i) total payment volume is up 22 percent when compared to H1 2022; (ii) the value of these payments and fraud value has increased by 18 percent; (iii) the attempted fraud rate for international payments increased 31 percent in H1 2023; and (iv) for international transactions, 60 percent of the fraud was conducted using money mules rather than traditional peer-to-peer (P2P) methods

According to the report, the rise in fraud and scams can be traced back to the increase of real-time payments, which are quick and easy ways for scammers to find their victims. Also adding to the pressure on FIs is the April 2024 liability shift deadline for compliance with new, mandatory regulatory rules.

“FIs should not wait until April 2024 to act,” said Chad Hetherington, vice president and head of product at NICE Actimize. “With the rise in real-time payments creating new opportunities for scammers, FIs and banks must act now to catch criminals quicker.

“The speed, ease, and varieties of scams gaining traction shows fraudsters are investing in new and perfecting existing scams,” he continued. “These issues all signal the immediate need for FIs to take action to adopt next generation technology to fend off the threats of tomorrow.”

The report also notes that the scale of fraud attacks along with new mandatory regulatory requirements has forced FIs to expand fraud prevention into other areas for improvement. These include changes in regulation, with fraud liability shifts top of mind, especially in the space of scams and authorised push payment (APP) fraud.

Mr Hetherington concluded: “As cooperation grows within the financial services industry, collective intelligence and innovation will be vital so FIs can protect both their organisations and customers.” 

Report: Delving Deeper: 2023 Fraud Insights Second Edition

European PE and VC weak but optimistic, reveals new reports

BY Fraser Tennant

Amid high inflation and interest rates, slowing economic growth, constricted financing markets and uncertain geopolitical conditions, private equity (PE) and venture capital (VC) activity across Europe weakened in the first half of 2023, according to a new report by Invest Europe.

In its ‘Investing in Europe: Private Equity Activity H1 2023’ report, the association reveals that PE and VC capital funds invested €32bn in the first half of 2023, 54 percent lower than 2022’s strong figures and in line with levels last seen in 2016.

Moreover, a total of 3524 companies received backing in the first half, a more moderate 26 percent decline from last year, reflecting smaller average investment sizes across buyouts, growth and VC. Fundraising also weakened from last year’s record level to €33bn. A total of 370 funds raised capital from investors, 15 percent below the average of the last five years. However, VC fundraising was relatively robust and in line with levels recorded in early 2020.

However, while this activity data provides insight into the impact of challenging market conditions on PE and VC in the first half of 2023, a second report released this week, ‘The Insight: State Of The European Private Equity Industry’, in association with global management consultancy Arthur D. Little, gives a more optimistic view of industry expectations over the short and medium term.

“Conditions are as challenging as they have been at any point since the financial crisis,” said Eric de Montgolfier, chief executive of Invest Europe. “Nonetheless, the industry is resilient and adaptable.

“Fund managers are clearly supporting companies through volatile markets while making preparations for the future, not only in terms of increased activity, but also in sustainability,” he continued. “This incldes greener funds for long-term investors, as well as new vehicles that can bring the benefit of PE and VC returns to a wider group of individuals.”

Reports: Investing in Europe: Private Equity Activity H1 2023 / The Insight: State Of The European Private Equity Industry 

Private equity searching for value in a changing market

BY Richard Summerfield

Despite a challenging year marked by rising interest rates and slower growth, successful private equity firms (PE) are adapting to the changing environment, according to Dechert LLP and Mergermarket’s sixth annual Global Private Equity Outlook report.

According to the report, which is based on responses from senior executives within PE firms in North America, EMEA and APAC, 26 percent of respondents, the largest share, believe that interest rates will have the single biggest impact on the deal environment over the coming 12 months.

Also, in response to the US regional bank crisis of earlier this year, 35 percent of respondents intend to move more toward private credit providers. This shift has been visible across all parts of the world.

Ninety-two percent of general partners (GPs) say they are currently utilising earn-outs a strategy to manage the valuation gap that emerged last year in response to macro and market conditions.

Fifty-eight percent of respondents believe that the market conditions for exits will be either neutral or somewhat favourable over the coming year, suggesting GPs are confident in a recovery but remain realistic about the challenges ahead. However, this is a significant fall from 84 percent of respondents who shared that view a year ago.

Ninety-four percent of respondents are likely to consider pursuing take-privates at present, a marked difference from last year when less than 50 percent said they were likely to do so. Increased regulatory scrutiny is expected to have a negative impact on dealmaking over the next 12 months, however. Forty-six percent of respondents reported that they expect antitrust authorities to have a negative impact and 25 percent expect a significant negative impact on their dealmaking plans over the next 12 months.

“Despite a decline in fundraising and dealmaking coupled with debt becoming costlier and scarcer, private equity marches forward,” said Markus P. Bolsinger, co-head of Dechert’s global private equity practice. “The shift towards take-private transactions is an example of how they are not just surviving but thriving in the face of market volatility, finding value in public markets where others see uncertainty.

“Given the additional regulatory complexity and public scrutiny of these deals, active engagement of skilled professional advisers from the very start is a necessity, particularly in the US, where stockholder-plaintiffs have recently secured significant damages awards in the Delaware courts against acquirors in take-privates,” he added.

Going forward, the report suggests that GPs should build portfolio resilience, that parties on both sides of transactions need to think creatively to ensure success, that firms capitalise upon public markets and that GPs should use environmental, social and governance (ESG) as a lever to create value through new revenue, reduced costs, improved access to finance and higher employee engagement and productivity.

Report: 2024 Global Private Equity Outlook